High unemployment, Americans feeling they have been put second to non-citizens, and the strong message of American Nationalism through the Make American Great Again slogan, won the vote of many Americans who had distain from the Obama Administration. His victory stunned scholars and political analysts. From the moment he rode down the escalator in June of 2015, people wrote him off.
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Commentators speculated his announcement was merely a publicity stunt. Many oddsmakers claimed he had a very minimal chance of winning due to his lack of political experience and credentials. Donald Trump was elected President of the United States because he addressed many of the legitimate concerns middle class Americans had about jobs being outsourced to other countries and industries being phased out entirely. He stands a tremendous chance of being re-elected in 2020 if he maintains economic growth, and continues to strengthen American Nationalism. Trump has already managed to effectively destroy ISIS, and the democratic party has no strong candidates to run, making Trump a juggernaut for the next election.
We are living in a historical time period. Prior to the billionaire business mogul’s electoral victory, someone who has never held public office or served in the military has never been elected to be the leader of the free world. This aspect significantly benefits Trump because as a business man it was his responsibility to balance budgets and set goals that had to be achieved in order for his business to both strive and thrive. Many Americans weren’t in favor of another career politician taking office.
Donald Trump was elected President because he recognized many of the economic and social disparities that individuals faced, especially individuals in Middle America. In a rapidly changing world, working class people felt left behind. The middle class was shrinking because of outsourcing, heavy taxation and regulation
Trump promised to roll back some environmental regulations to stimulate job growth, confront countries and even multinational corporations that were responsible for jobs being shipped overseas. Establishment candidates on both sides of the political spectrum such as Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton, were essentially promising more of the same. While one cannot magically make these problems disappear, they can certainly at least attempt to address them. Many workers, especially in the rust belt states, felt no such attempts were being made. In fact, they felt that career politicians were responsible for many of the problems they were facing. One cannot blame them when listening to remarks from leaders like Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who stated, …we’re going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business (CNN Townhall Transcript). It is important to note that Mrs. Clinton’s husband signed the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Many people felt this agreement was responsible for the move towards globalization we have witnessed over the last few decades.
While many in the mainstream media attempt to portray Trump’s victory as a white backlash to changing demographics, the facts portray a very different reality. Studies have indicated that the Obama-Trump voters, people who supported both Obama in his campaigns and Trump in 2016, were a big reason Trump was elected. Obviously, people who voted for the first black president are not intimidated or bothered by a minority (or female) holding a powerful office. Just 74 percent of white Obama voters with a high school diploma or less backed Mrs. Clinton in the voter study group cited by Mr. Milbank (Cohn, New York Times). President Trump also received a higher percentage of both the Hispanic and the African American vote than Governor Mitt Romney did in the 2012 general election. This shows that all Americans wanted to put America first displaying nationalistic feelings. On a side note, President Trump’s campaign manager, Kellyane Conway, was the first female campaign manager to run a successful general election. The campaign was never based on racism or sexism, and any efforts to describe it in those terms is an egregious misrepresentation.
The forty-fifth President did something incredible, he hijacked the Republican party and proceeded to hijack what used to be the base of the Democratic party to win the general election. People were not voting based on who conformed best to the old beliefs from either party, they were voting for just the opposite. Americans wanted a successful leader. Trump’s background of successful companies attest to his sound leadership. He was an executive dealing with complex negotiations and problems before being elected President. After the financial crisis of 2008, it was President Obama’s job to both save and fix the economy. However, throughout Obama’s eight years in office, he implemented policies that damaged the chances of any significant economic growth. Before Mr. Obama, in the 11 previous recessions since the Depression, the economy recovered all jobs lost during the recession an average of 27 months after the recession began. In Mr. Obama’s recovery, dating from the summer of 2009, the recession’s job losses were not recovered until after 76 months??” more than six years (Ferrara, Wall Street Journal). It all comes down to economics.
The populist wave President Trump capitalized on was sweeping much western society as a whole. Just a few months prior to his election here in the United States of America, Britain voted to exit the European Union. This too was a surprise to the international community. More recently, the French people are rising up against President Macron. What started as the yellow jackets protesting his new environmental tax turned into a large-scale movement against his administration. The people feel he is an elitist who is out of touch with their concerns and desires.
President Trump has a strong chance of winning his re-election bid in 2020. For starters, the economy is generally strong. The unemployment rate is lower than it has been in almost fifty years. African American unemployment and Hispanic unemployment are at the lowest levels they’ve been in history. The Trump Administration has effectively destroyed ISIS. Although the Democratic Party has a wide range of candidates to run, none of them are high quality. Former Vice President Joe Biden admitted he was tired after campaigning for candidates during the midterm elections. Beto O’Rourke lost his local race to Senator Cruz in Texas, how can he be expected to win the Presidency? Kamala Harris is too far left on the political spectrum for a center right country. Mayor Bloomberg may pose a threat in a general election but he is not progressive enough to survive the primaries (and probably will not run regardless).
The people did not just vote for Trump in 2016, they voted for a change. They were tired of seeing their jobs shipped overseas to other countries and they were tired of seeing their way of life changing so rapidly. The same country that supported President Trump supported President Obama. They lost faith in the direction the country was headed in and wanted a change. Thus far, Mr. Trump has delivered on many of his promises and brought about said change. It is probable that he will win re-election in 2020.